MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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August 20, 2024

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August 21, 2024

Published by Mike Rose on August 20, 2024

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Last Thursday’s MLB parlay picks got out to a rocky start but closed with a bang resulting in four of the six legs coming through allowing us to pad the roll for the second time in as many days. The Mets got out to a 5-0 lead through three innings, but Jose Quintana and the bullpen failed to hold the fort allowing the A’s to tie it up before going on to score the impressive 7-6 win in comeback fashion. At least NY managed to exceed its 4.5-run team total in defeat. The Giants took over from there scoring the 6-0 shutout win over the Braves on the back of Logan spinning another Webb on his home bump. See what I did there 😉 Let’s take it to Caesars Sportsbook once again with another edition of parlay legs for Thursday’s decent sized slate – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Same Game Parlay:

I had reservations about all the love Corbin Burnes was receiving in the AL Cy Young Award futures odds market at the outset of the season. Coming off a highly disappointing final campaign with the Brewers and taking his big frame to the American League, Milwaukee looks to have cut bait at the absolute perfect time. While the right-hander enters his 26^th start 12-5 with a solid 3.10 ERA and 144:38 K/BB ratio, there have been some ugly showings. None more so than last time out when he allowed the Red Sox to take him out behind the woodshed and serve up a good ‘ol fashioned shellacking en route to serving up 10 hits (2 HR) and 8 ER in what amounted to being his shortest stint of the baseball betting season (4 IP). That being said, I thoroughly expect the staff ace to take to the bump pissed and ready to settle the score when he throws at the Houston Astros in the opener of this extended four-game series.

I get that the AL West frontrunners are currently on a tear having cashed in against the closing baseball betting odds in 11 of their last 12 played games, but a number of those dubs were logged against bottom feeders like the White Sox, Rays, and Rangers. The O’s currently sit 20 games over the breakeven mark and sit a half-game out of the AL East lead with 73 wins already under the belt. We faded Burnes in his first Minute Maid start back in late June and came out a victor even though he went seven innings in the 5-1 defeat. This time around, I’ll back him knowing he’ll be out to accrue some same season revenge and bounce back from the nightmarish showing last time out. Houston has only hit the win column in one of Spencer Arrighetti’s last eight starts. We faded him and his ugly 4.2 BB/9 as a huge home chalk against the White Sox in his last turn, and will look to parlay those profits into his first appearance in Camden Yards.

BURNES PITCHER WIN
ORIOLES OVER TEAM TOTAL
ARRIGHETTI OVER HITS ALLOWED

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres MLB Same Game Parlay:

Here I go getting involved in a game that includes the Metropolitans again. Only this time, I’ll be fading New York on the MLB odds with Luis Severino set to square off against a Padres lineup that’s been ripping the cover off the ball against right-handed pitching all season long. San Diego is batting a league-best .273 against RHP with a .330 on-base percentage (#3), and .758 OPS (#5). The batting average is up to .276 for the month of August, but the most impressive aspect of the Padres ability to handle right-handed pitching is its proclivity to not go down on strikes. Owners of an overall 17.5% K rate, it’s all the way down to 13.8% (#1) for the month of August, and that bodes terribly for Severino who only averages 7.4 K/9 and backs it up with 3.0 free passes per start. San Diego is going to put the ball in play, and it will test the Mets 27^th ranked defense, mightily!

Since tossing the first no-hitter of his career and second in Padres’ franchise history, Dylan Cease has failed to pitch through the sixth inning in each of his last four starts. Though one of those outings was shortened by Mother Nature after just one inning, he still only managed to go 16.1 total innings in the other three. Even so, San Diego still went on to win three of those games moving the team to 16-10 in the righty’s 26 overall starts. Averaging 12.0 K/9 at home where he’s only allowed 47 hits (7 HR) and 23 ER through 65.1 total innings, Cease remains in the mix to cash in on the NL Cy Young Award odds (+5000) at Caesars Sportsbook. There’s still plenty of time remaining to become an even bigger player, and I expect him to rise up in his first Petco start since the end of July against a Mets lineup going down on strikes against RHP at a 25.8% clip on the road since August 1. Look for the righty to be in a position to secure win No. 13 and help lead the Friars to the series opening win in the process.