MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

CFB Futures – 2024 Missouri Tigers Win Total Odds

July 29, 2024

NFL Preseason Betting Tips

July 29, 2024

Published by Mike Rose on July 29, 2024

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With Mother Nature washing the Reds/Braves matchup out, we only had three MLB parlay picks in play this past Tuesday. While we went on to cash a nice underdog ticket with the Cardinals who scored the 2-1 triumph over the Buccos, we failed to cash either pitcher prop. Lance Lynn only managed a pair of strikeouts through his five innings, while Paul Skenes buried his outs prop at BetMGM Sportsbook logging a season-high 25 – He is him! Here’s to getting back in the black with another installment of same game parlay leg recommendations – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros MLB Same Game Parlay:

We backed Skenes and the Pirates in the opener of this three-game interleague set, but will reverse course tonight and stake a large position on the Astros to even the score. I’ve been keeping tabs on Martin Perez ever since the southpaw returned from the IL at the end of June. The overall body of work since getting back on the bump hasn’t great. Save for a pair of outings with at least six innings thrown at the division rival Cardinals, a team ranked 29^th against left-handed pitching, the lefty has been nothing to write home about. In the other three stints against the Braves, Brewers, and Phillies, three above average offenses against LHP, he’s been ripped for 24 hits (4 HR) and 17 ER with a K/BB ratio of 13:7. Most notably, he failed to pitch through the fifth inning in any of those starts, and will once again have his hands full running up against an unforgiving Astros offense that’s peppered LHP.

Houston has raked lefties to the tune of a .264 batting average for the season (#4). While it’s tapered off to .247 for the month of July, I firmly expect Jose Altuve and his mates to be locked in after being forced to deal with NL Rookie of the Year Award frontrunner last night. Perez is heavily reliant upon his sinker, cutter, and changeup to go deep into games, and two of those three pitch types just so happen to be ones the Astros rake with a number of their bats possessing eye-opening run values against them per Stat Cast. The cherry on top of staking a position on the MLB odds with the homebased Astros is that Hunter Brown will be toeing the bump looking to tally win No. 10 on the season. The righty has come out victorious each of the last three times he took to the starting bump, and has been his best at home (3.40 ERA) and under the lights (2.78 ERA) over the course of the baseball betting season.

BROWN TO EARN THE PITCHER WIN
ASTROS OVER TEAM TOTAL
PEREZ OVER EARNED RUNS

Oakland Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Same Game Parlay:

We’ll close things out in beautiful Oracle Park where the Giants will welcome in the in-state rival A’s for the first of two interleague matchups looking to build off their dominant weekend showing against the Rockies. Though both teams had Monday off, it’s the visiting Athletics that I’m interested in backing on the baseball betting odds in the opener. Robbie Ray was fantastic in his return to the mound against the Dodgers last week, but I’ll pony up some bankroll and demand he show out once again in a match linemakers will have him installed the prohibitive favorite. Though he held LA hitless and racked up 8 K, the lefty was forced to throw 86 pitches due to a pair of issued free passes and the Dodgers routinely taking him into deep counts. He’ll be tested mightily in start No. 2 against an Oakland offense batting .286 against LHP dating back to the beginning of June (#2) and .292 in July (#3).

The sustained success at the plate over the last couple months has seen the A’s stockpile a number of surprising wins when in the underdog role. As such, I’m expecting J.P. Sears to get an ample amount of run support to do his thing and believe it will be enough to put Oakland in a position to take this game down. The lefty was cruising in his three July starts up until his most recent outing against Houston who bludgeoned him for nine hits (1 HR) and 7 ER over six innings. Before that against the Angels (twice) and Red Sox, the southpaw only allowed 15 hits (3 HR) and 3 ER through 16.1 total innings. The Giants’ offense has excelled against LHP overall (#5), but hasn’t been able to do much damage against the sweeper and change which are Sears’ most heavily used pitch types besides the fastball. So long as his 4-seamer doesn’t get cooked, a quality start will be there for the taking before handing it over to the pen where Oakland holds an extreme advantage.