MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Tuesday, July 2

July 1, 2024

John Deere Classic Odds and Picks

July 2, 2024

Published by Mike Rose on July 1, 2024

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Due to the Blue Jays/Red Sox tilt getting suspended in-game due to inclement weather, we ended up splitting Last Wednesday’s parlay picks to bank a small profit at Caesars Sportsbook. The Tampa Bay Rays were in a position to sweep the series from Seattle up 1-0 heading into the seventh inning, but after Ryan Pepiot allowed the game tying run, the bullpen took over and proceeded to give up four more runs ultimately leading to the home team falling by a 5-2 count. We earned the split due to Pepiot exceeding his 6.5 K prop before heading to the showers. Hopefully Mother Nature stays away this Hump Day and allows my parlay leg recommendations to do their thing – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

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San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Same Game Parlay:

At 35 years young, Chris Sale continues to impress, stepping up alongside Max Fried to support the Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff after the early-season loss of Spencer Strider. Since then, Sale has posted a 10-3 record with a 2.79 ERA, allowing 69 hits (including 7 home runs) and boasting a stellar 118:17 K/BB ratio over 15 starts and 93.2 innings. Initially a long shot at nearly 70-1 odds to take home the NL Cy Young Award at Caesars, his odds have now shortened to +350, with only Zack Wheeler having shorter odds. Despite a tough loss to the White Sox in his last outing, where he pitched seven innings of one-run ball with 11 strikeouts, Sale will be motivated as he seeks his 11th win against a Giants team that struggles against left-handed pitching evidenced by a 9-16 record (-$930).

San Francisco has been tougher to strike out this season, ranking 14th in the league, but they will still be decided underdogs with Jordan Hicks starting his 18th game of the year. We successfully faded Hicks in his last outing against the Cubs, where he allowed 3 earned runs over five innings. The righty has consistently shown to be a five-inning pitcher, which often taxes the bullpen earlier than Bob Melvin would prefer. San Fran’s bullpen, ranked 24th overall and 28th over the last two weeks, will likely be called upon early in this one as well. While Atlanta’s hitters have not excelled against the sinker, splitter, and sweeper pitches, I don’t foresee a miracle performance from Hicks or the Giants’ bullpen getting in the way of Sale getting back in the win column.

SALE TO EARN THE PITCHER WIN
HICKS UNDER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED
SALE OVER TOTAL STRIKEOUTS

Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Same Game Parlay:

We backed George Kirby and the Mariners in the opener of this crucial three-game series in the Pacific Northwest last night. Hopefully, this decision paid off, allowing us to cash in some tickets against the MLB odds at Caesars. If not, we’ll aim to recover those units in game two on Hump Day night when Corbin Burnes faces Logan Gilbert in what’s likely to be one of the best pitching matchups of the night. Both pitchers are strong contenders in the AL Cy Young Award race, with Burnes at +250 and Gilbert at 15-1. Gilbert has a great opportunity to strengthen his candidacy with a strong performance should he help lead Seattle to victory. Regardless, I anticipate both pitchers to excel and keep the offenses in check, resulting in a low-scoring game with each pitcher going deep into the game.

Burnes has pitched seven innings in five of his last six starts, allowing only 8 earned runs over his last 41 innings. While his road ERA (2.93) is slightly higher than his home ERA (1.78 at Camden Yards), he has been exceptional under the lights, giving up just 50 hits (6 HR) and 15 earned runs with a 51:17 K/BB ratio over 64 innings. Though he has fallen short of his strikeout prop in his last two starts, he should excel tonight against Seattle, which continues to strike out at a league-high 27.9% rate. Burnes’ highest strikeout total (11) this season came against the Mariners on May 19, and I expect another high strikeout performance tonight.

Gilbert has led the Mariners to wins in each of his last four starts, recording a personal 2-0 record while allowing just 16 hits (2 HR) and 5 earned runs with 26 strikeouts and only one issued walk. He has been outstanding at home (2.70 ERA) and at night (2.44 ERA), allowing just 18 earned runs over 66.1 innings. He averaged over 21 outs per start in June, and I expect him to maintain this longevity against Baltimore’s lineup, which he has held to a career .200 batting average.