MLB Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions – Tuesday, June 11
June 10, 2024U.S. Open Odds and Picks
June 11, 2024We came so close to sweeping our Wednesday parlay picks for the second time in as many weeks. Unfortunately, Eric Fedde broke down late and the White Sox bullpen was unable to fend off a furious Cubs comeback. We did however come out on the lucky side of a decision in the Reds/Rockies matchup after Cincinnati scored six runs in the top of the ninth to steal the 12-7 win away from the Rockies to cash in on the moneyline and exceed their team total over at Caesars Sportsbook. Hopefully this week’s edition of parlay leg recommendations go off without a hitch – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Same Game Parlay:
Just when you thought the Twins were making a serious push to threaten the Tribe atop the AL Central standings after taking two of three from the Astros in Houston, Rocco Baldelli’s troops go out and get swept in New York and drop two of three in Pittsburgh. Because of it, Minnesota now finds itself 8.5-games out and grasping for dear life onto the third and final wild card slot in the American League. A huge opportunity however awaits the Twinkies who get to make up some major ground by running up against the Rockies, A’s, Rays, and A’s again through late June. If the team is to solidify its stance as a playoff caliber team, now would be the time to show the MLB betting community what they’re made of!
And I don’t want to see them squeaking a majority of these wins out either! They need to take the bull by the horns and show them whose boss! That should’ve started in Monday’s series opener and I expect it to carry over into the finale with Austin Gomber set to square off against Pablo Lopez who will be looking to earn his first win in June and only second since the beginning of May. The right-hander has fallen off immensely since starting with a bang having allowed 6+ ER three of the last four times he took to the starting bump. He just got wrecked by the Yankees in the Bronx and should be out for blood looking to take it to a Colorado offense ranked 27th in K rate that’s averaged a paltry 3.6 runs per game over the last week.
While the Twinkies offense hasn’t been great either in averaging an even worse 2.4 runs per game (#29) over the last week, I fully expect Carlos Correa and his mates to settle in nicely against Gomber whose 3.38 ERA is nearly 1.5 runs lesser than his more indicative 4.82 FIP. Armed with one of the slowest fastballs in the game (#193) per Pitcher List, the righty is highly dependent upon his changeup, curve, and slider to keep opposing offenses guessing. Per Baseball Savant, Minnesota’s lineup tees off on the 4-seamer, and sports a number of bats with impressive run values against the change and slide piece. As such, look for Minny to hang a crooked number and close this series out with style.
- TWINS RUN-LINE
- TWINS OVER TEAM TOTAL
- GOMBER OVER TOTAL HITS ALLOWED
- LOPEZ OVER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Same Game Parlay:
I’ve been calling for the regression monster to pay Bailey Falter a visit seemingly all MLB betting season long, and boy did it rear its ugly head in the left-hander’s most recent start after he got ripped for eight hits (2 HR) and 5 ER through four innings against the Dodgers. That being said, Los Angeles has murdered southpaws all year long and Falter went off the board as a heavy +150 home dog per the closing MLB odds in that matchup. This time around however, the lefty will get the pleasure of running up against a Cardinals offense that’s 8-8 versus LHP (-$130) that averages just short of 4.0 runs per game (#23). Falter has held current STL bats to a .208 batting average and allowed a total of three extra base hits. He’s been at his best on the road (3.86 ERA) and at night (3.93 ERA), so I expect him to put forth a commendable outing that has the Buccos in a position to take down the middle game of this set.
As great Sonny Gray looks on paper, the veteran right-hander hasn’t been the innings eater he’s been in the past. While the owner of a 7-4 record with a 3.21 ERA and 82:19 K/BB ratio, he’s seen the sixth inning in only one of his last six turns and has religiously been pulled when tossing fewer than 90 pitches. That isn’t a recipe for success with the Redbirds owners of a middling bullpen (No. 14). As great Ryan Helsley has been at converting opportunities into saves only blowing one through 22 tries, the other arms comprising the pen are questionable at best with the unit as a whole serving up a .245 batting average against (#25). With the Pirates playing the better recent ball in winning five of their last seven games compared to the Cardinals 3-4 record, I’ll hitch my wagon to the team in better form catching a plus-money return.
- PIRATES MONEYLINE
- GRAY UNDER TOTAL OUTS RECORDED