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New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
The Green Bay Packers secured a playoff berth in emphatic fashion, shutting out the New Orleans Saints 34-0 to easily cover the NFL odds in the Week 16 installment of Monday Night Football. It was the first shutout of the NFL season and Green Bay’s largest margin of victory since 2014. The Packers improved to 11-4, clinching their fifth postseason appearance in six years, while the Saints fell to 5-10. Green Bay’s defense proved to be the driving force, dominating despite missing four starters. The unit forced two turnovers, including an interception by Zayne Anderson in his first career start, and stifled New Orleans rookie quarterback Spencer Rattler, who finished 15 of 30 for 153 yards with an interception and a fumble. The Saints, without injured stars Derek Carr and Alvin Kamara, couldn’t find the end zone evidenced by five punts, one failed fourth down attempt, and a pair of turnovers.
Josh Jacobs led Green Bay’s balanced attack with 107 scrimmage yards and a touchdown, marking his sixth straight game with a score. Jacobs also contributed to the Packers’ season-long 96-yard touchdown drive, converting two fourth-down plays before his 2-yard scoring run. He is now one game shy of tying the Packers’ franchise record for consecutive games with a rushing touchdown. Jordan Love delivered a steady performance, completing 16 of 28 passes for 182 yards and a touchdown to Dontayvion Wicks. Love also engineered scoring drives on the Packers’ first three possessions, setting the tone early. Wicks’ 2-yard touchdown marked his fifth of the season, while Chris Brooks and Emanuel Wilson added rushing scores. Brandon McManus connected on field goals from 55 and 46 yards in the second half.
When initially penning this two-leg same-game parlay breakdown in hopes of cashing it in at Caesars Sportsbook, weather forecasts led me to believe Mother Nature would play a role throughout the entirety of the match. That hardly proved to be the case. While it was a bit cold, there was nothing wet, or white, falling from the sky. Because of it, the path was made for Green Bay’s defense to flex against a Saints attack void of all its playmakers. I even banked on a few slips here and there allowing New Orleans to put some cheap points on the board. By getting shut out, it didn’t come to fruition and we took the collar with none of the suggested SGP legs ever having a shot to cash in.
New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
Week 16 NFL betting action closes out on the “Frozen Tundra” of Lambeau Field where the Green Bay Packers will attempt to tally their 11th win of the season as heavy favorites against an undermanned New Orleans Saints squad more or less playing out the string. The Saints continued to fight hard for interim coach Darren Rizzi last week coming a failed two-point conversion attempt from storming back to shock the Washington Commanders. Meanwhile, Matt LaFleur’s troops had no issue disposing of the Seattle Seahawks in front of the 12th Man waltzing their way to the carefree 30-13 win and NFL odds cover as short road chalk. Caesars Sportsbook initially lined the Packers 13.5-point favorites with a total of 42.5 for this NFC clash. NFL bettors have since pushed the number to beat out to 14 with 80+ percent of the bets and money aligned with the slight market correction. The O/U is yet to deviate from the opener though it should be noted that upwards of 80% of the booked handle is in favor of the combined score exceeding the impost.
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New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Same Game Parlay:
The Darren Rizzi era in New Orleans mirrors last season’s interim-coach narrative in Las Vegas, where Antonio Pierce impressed enough to earn the Raiders’ permanent head coaching role. Since taking over for Dennis Allen following the Saints’ 23-22 upset loss to Carolina, Rizzi has led the team to a respectable 3-2 straight-up (SU) and against-the-spread (ATS) record. Both losses, to the Rams and Commanders, were tightly contested, decided by an average of 4.0 points per game. Wins over the Falcons, Browns, and Giants may not turn heads, but Rizzi has maximized his roster’s potential despite significant injuries. While the Saints remain mathematically alive in the playoff race, a postseason berth would require a miracle. Realistically, they’ve embraced the spoiler role, which continues in Week 16’s Monday Night Football telecast against the cheeseheads. Early betting action heavily favors the Packers, with Alvin Kamara sidelined, leaving rookie QB Spencer Rattler to lead the offense. New Orleans is 2-4 SU and ATS on the road, averaging 42.7 combined points. As underdogs, they’re 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS, with an average of 46.5 points hitting the board.
After absorbing that gut-wrenching 34-31 loss to the Lions the week prior, the Green Bay Packers rebounded in emphatic fashion, dismantling the Seattle Seahawks 30-13 last Sunday night. The win, Green Bay’s tenth of the season, keeps Matt LaFleur’s squad in strong contention for the NFC’s sixth playoff seed with three games remaining. Jordan Love shone under the lights, delivering a 123.8 QB rating by completing 20 of 27 passes for 229 yards and two touchdowns without an interception thrown. Josh Jacobs anchored the backfield with 94 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries, overcoming an early fumble that allowed Seattle to hang early on. Defensively, the Packers were dominant, holding Seattle to just six points until a late, inconsequential touchdown was conceded. They outgained the Seahawks 369-208, forced two turnovers, and thwarted Seattle’s lone red-zone attempt. The defense even knocked Geno Smith out of the game! This convincing win against a potential division winner sends a clear message to the entire league that the Packers are inarguably peaking at the right time. Green Bay has thrived as double-digit home favorites under LaFleur, going 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread, with an average margin of victory of 14.3 points and 48.3 total points scored per game.
It’s shaping up to be a sloppy, cold night at Lambeau Field on Monday, with rain and snow in the forecast. Even on a perfect day, Green Bay likely wins this matchup nine times out of ten. However, with Mother Nature leveling the playing field, I’m backing the Saints with the points. While New Orleans’ recent opponents haven’t been top-tier, the Saints have shown remarkable competitiveness under interim coach Darren Rizzi. His impact has been undeniable, with the team rallying to improve on both sides of the ball. Spencer Rattler looked more composed last week, and the defense wreaked havoc with eight sacks of Jayden Daniels. It’s hard to imagine Saints management not considering Rizzi for the full-time role—or at least promoting him to keep other teams at bay. Green Bay’s primary focus is securing their 11th win and advancing, not the margin of victory. Meanwhile, the Saints have every incentive to play with maximum effort, fueled by Rizzi’s push to solidify his candidacy. Given their renewed grit and determination, I’m taking the points and the over on New Orleans’ team total for a smart two-leg same-game parlay to close the week.
- NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +14
- NEW ORLEANS SAINTS OVER 13.5 TOTAL POINTS
