Oregon vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Oregon vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

The Oregon Ducks continued their dominant inaugural season in the Big Ten, defeating the Michigan Wolverines 38-17 to cover the 14.5-point spread in in the “Big House” moving the No. 1 team in the land to 5-4 ATS for the year. Heisman candidate Dillon Gabriel threw for 294 yards, connecting on a touchdown and rushing for another, as the Ducks led comfortably throughout the game. Oregon, now 9-0 overall and 6-0 in the Big Ten, proved it can go on the road in hostile territory and succeed. Michigan briefly tied the game in the first quarter, but struggled to regain momentum after a trick-play attempt and penalties stifled their chances. Ducks coach Dan Lanning praised his team’s awareness of Michigan’s trick plays, a key defensive factor. Oregon lost star receiver Tez Johnson to a shoulder injury but adapted seamlessly as Traeshon Holden stepped up with a career-high 149 receiving yards on six receptions. Michigan’s struggles in crucial moments, including an illegal formation penalty, underscored Oregon’s efficiency. With this win, Oregon was proclaimed the No. 1 team in the country per the first installment of the College Football Playoff, while Michigan fell to 5-4 and needing one more win to become bowl eligible with @Indiana, Northwestern, and @Ohio State remaining on the docket.

I’m still pretty bitter about the way this one turned out. Michigan did everything needed to cover the two-touchdown spread. It didn’t turn the ball over. It ran the ball 28 times for 105 yards. It kept the Ducks at an arm’s length—in terms of the NCAAF odds all game long—to keep itself in a position to cover the 2+ touchdown spread I recommended taking as the first leg of this same-game parlay. Unfortunately, Lanning had other ideas. Though Sherrone Moore clearly waived the white flag with Oregon up 31-17 with the ball in the closing minutes, the Ducks for one reason or another decided against taking a few knees and instead punched the ball into the end zone with 25 seconds left to get ahead of the number. Those that laid the points were thrilled about the front door cover. I wasn’t one of them! At least Big Blue got us the 17 points needed to push the game over the 45.5-point total to earn us the split at Caesars Sportsbook.

Oregon vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

All eyes will be on the “Big House” for a late afternoon kick on Saturday when the No. 1 ranked Oregon Ducks hit the road to battle the Michigan Wolverines in hopes of avoiding one of the few landmines remaining on the docket. Dan Lanning’s kids have passed every test to this point of the college football betting season, and linemakers at Caesars Sportsbook expect them to come out of this one unscathed as well installing the “Quack Attack” lofty two-possession favorites to get out of Ann Arbor with the win in tow. Hard to argue with as masterful the Ducks have been so far, but keep in mind, Oregon was only lined 3.5-point favorites to defeat Big Blue on the “Game of the Year” lines heading into the regular season. Regardless, the bloated impost hasn’t prevented CFB bettors from hammering the Ducks with nearly 70% of the bets and around 60% of the NCAAF odds money forcing a market correction up to 14.5. The over has also seen a heavier percentage of the action forcing a move to 45.5 with 52% of the handle in favor of the line move. Let’s see if we can’t whip up the ingredients for a winning same-game parlay!

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Oregon Ducks vs. Michigan Wolverines CFB Same Game Parlay:

I wasn’t a believer in the Ducks earlier this season. After struggling to get by Idaho in the season opener as lofty 49-point favorites, I had no issues taking nearly three touchdowns with Boise State and laughed all the way to the bank after Ashton Jeanty went for nearly two spins and three tuddies. I pressed my luck the following week in the Civil War against Oregon State and looked good for a half with the Beavers only trailing 22-14, but Dillon Gabriel and Co. found their footing in the second half to cruise to the 49-14 win and cover. I recouped that loss a few weeks later when Michigan State miraculously kicked the backdoor in late to cover the 21+ points. If you’ve been following my college football same game parlay recommendations here this CFB betting season, you’ll know we gave those profits back the following week when they upset the Ohio State Buckeyes as 3.5-point home dogs.

Since that point, Oregon has been a team on a mission spanking Purdue and Illinois by the aggregate score of 73-9 to cover the closing CFB spread in each game. Both sides of the ball, as well as the special teams, have been firing on all cylinders. Entering Week 10, Oregon is the owner of the nation’s No. 11 ranked offense that’s dented scoreboards for an average of 35 points per game (#24). Backing it up has been a defense allowing fewer than 298 yards (#13) and paltry 15.6 points per game (#10). It gets after opposing quarterbacks with Jordan Burch and his mates averaging 2.7 sacks per game, with the unit really amping up the heat over the last three weeks forcing 1.7 takeaways per game. Oregon is clearly the stronger team in this matchup against a Michigan squad that has struggled mightily to attain its 5-3 SU and 2-6 ATS records.

That being said, I’m very wary of this spot and think it’s one the Ducks will need to have all hands on deck just to get out of with a win let alone a point spread cover as inflated road chalk. While the Wolverines will not be heading back to defend their title in the expanded College Football Playoff, it’s a program that still has pride and won’t just roll over and die allowing the Ducks to have their way. As fully versed Oregon is to combat anything Michigan throws its way, external factors always seem to play a role in these types of situations. Michigan Stadium already got to USC earlier this season in propelling the lesser Wolverines over the Trojans due to a huge game on the ground from Kalel Mullings. I’m not sure who will step up for the home team in this one, but I foresee a max effort being put forth enough to stay within an arm’s reach of the No. 1 team in the country. Points hit the board. Oregon escapes with the win. Big Blue covers.

• MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (+14.5)
• OREGON/MICHIGAN OVER 45.5 POINTS

Bet CFB Same Game Parlays at Caesars Sportsbook