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December 27, 2024The “Granddaddy of Them All” is destined to be a good one with the 111th installment of the oldest and most prestigious college football bowl game pitting the No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes up against the No. 1 Oregon Ducks in a rematch of the barnburner that took place in mid-October. Due to entering the College Football Playoff as the nation’s only undefeated, Dan Lanning’s kids got to kick back and watch all the first round action from the comfort of their own sports complex. As for Ryan Day’s kids, they set the tone for a run to “Hotlanta” by kicking the ever-living tar out of the SEC rep Tennessee Volunteers, easily covering the NCAAF odds in a 42-17 romp.
BetMGM Sportsbook initially lined Ohio State 1-point favorites with the game total set at 52.5. The point spread has since jumped to -2.5 with 56% of the booked handle aligned with the Buckeyes, while the O/U has moved to 55.5 by way of the over supported with 90+ percent of the money. For reference sake, the Buckeyes closed 3.5-point favorites with the total going off the board 54.5 when these teams collided in Eugene back in Week 7—Oregon and the over took in 60% and 56% of the money, respectively, in that one.
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Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Oregon Ducks CFB Same Game Parlay:
It’s clear that college football bettors are confident in backing the Buckeyes to win and cover the spread in this rematch, even after fading them earlier in the season. Much of that likely has to do with it only falling by a single point in Autzen. Comparing these teams side by side, Ohio State looks like a legitimate national championship contender, while Oregon—though undefeated, comes off to me as second-tier. Ryan Day and his coaching staff have done an outstanding job molding the roster on both sides of the ball, despite the glaring loss to Michigan. Chip Kelly has orchestrated a well-balanced offensive attack, with the Buckeyes ranking in the top 35 in total offense, averaging over 425 yards per game with Will Howard leading the charge. This has translated to the nation’s 11th-ranked scoring offense, posting an impressive 36.0 points per game. Defensively, Jim Knowles has elevated the Buckeyes to an elite level. They’ve been dominant against the run (#8) and the pass (#1), making Ohio State the top-ranked scoring defense in the nation, allowing fewer than 12.0 points per game. The unit has been particularly clutch in the red zone, holding opponents to a sub-60% scoring rate (#1), and consistently pressuring quarterbacks with an average of 3.0 sacks per game (#11).
Inarguably, the Ducks bring a solid resume into their second CFP appearance with the program dead set on earning the program’s first-ever championship title. Dillon Gabriel is the ringleader of an explosive offense that’s gotten the job done both on the ground (#53) with the battery of Noah Whittington and Jordan James setting the tone out of the backfield. Not to be outdone, the Ducks’ passing game (#14) has also proven to be a lethal aspect of its respective attack with Tez Johnson spearheading a formidable unit. Not to be outdone, the defense has played more than a lending hand in propelling Oregon to the nation’s lone undefeated record by way of allowing just over 300 yards of combined offense (#9) and 17+ points per game (#12). The overall body of work has seen Dan Lanning’s kids go unblemished at 13-0 while covering the closing CFB betting odds at a 7-6 clip. The one time they took points back from linemakers, they ousted these same Buckeyes 32-31 in a memorable instant classic with the teams combining to surpass the closing total.
So I recommended laying the points with the Buckeyes when they traveled to the Pacific Northwest two and a half months ago. My belief then was that the Buckeyes rushing attack—armed with the duo of TreVeyon Henderson and Quinshon Judkins—would be able to run roughshod against what I deemed to be a penetrable Ducks run D. While Ohio State went for 143 yards and a couple scores on 4.5 yards per carry, its 7+ minute advantage in the time of possession battle still amounted to a loss by the slimmest of margins. After just watching Penn State rip Oregon for 297 yards and 8.7 yards per carry in the B1G title game at a neutral setting, it’s pretty safe to assume Oregon still hasn’t a clue on how to get in the way of imposing ground games. Pair that with the excelled overall talent Ohio State has in its pass catching corps, I don’t foresee Oregon coming up with many stops in this rematch. Once the Ducks overcompensate to stop the run, Jeremiah Smith and Emeka Egbuka will eat their overrated secondary for dinner. I expect OSU to hang another crooked number on the Ducks, but this time, the defense will rise to the occasion and propel the team into the semis where a likely matchup with the Texas Longhorns will await.
- OHIO STATE BUCKEYES (-2.5)
- OHIO STATE BUCKEYES OVER 27.5 POINTS SCORED