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The Tennessee Titans are gearing up for the upcoming NFL season, and fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating the team’s performance after bolting out of the blocks only to limp towards the finish line and miss out on the postseason. With the Titans’ season win total odds at PointsBet Sportsbook the lowest of the Mike Vrabel era, many an NFL bettor looks to be of the belief that Tennessee will once again be in a world of hurt throughout the 2023-24 NFL betting season. I beg to differ! Let’s take a closer look at their prospects and make some informed betting decisions by digging into the Titz’ season win total odds, betting insights, and see if recapping their 2022-23 performance helps paint a picture of what’s to come.
Tennessee Titans: The Forgotten Champion
Before diving into the Titans’ season win total odds, let’s quickly recap their performance from last year. The Titans finished the 2022-23 season with a disappointing 7-10 record, failing to qualify for the playoffs for the first time since 2018 – Vrabel’s first season calling the shots. Despite a strong run defense that shut down opposing rushing attacks, the team struggled terribly on the offensive side of the ball, finishing 28th in points per game and 26th in EPA (Expected Points Added). Injuries, the lack of offensive firepower and poor fourth quarter performances resulted in a negative scoring margin (-3.6) and the team watching the second season play out from the comforts of their own couches.
QB Ryan Tannehill, despite facing a tough schedule of opposing defenses, held his own, ranking 16th in EPA among quarterbacks. However, the lack of weapons and a struggling offensive line limited the team’s offensive production. AJ Brown’s trade proved to be a significant loss, and what remained of the Titans’ receiving corps just wasn’t up to snuff. RB Derrick Henry continued to be a force to be reckoned with, but even he experienced a slight decline in performance. Defensively, the Titans boasted a formidable run defense, ranking first in the NFL in allowing fewer than 77.0 yards per game. However, their pass defense struggled, ranking 32nd in the league. The team’s young and injury-plagued secondary had difficulty matching up against top-tier passing offenses spearheaded by elite quarterbacks. It was fitting to see Tennessee see the door slam on the season at Jacksonville in a game it actually outgained the Jaguars by 90 yards!
Bet the Tennessee Titans Season Wins Total at PointsBet Sportsbook
Tennessee Titans Season Wins Total: 7.5
The Titans season win total currently clocks in at 7.5 over at PointsBet Sportsbook with heavier -140 juice attached to the under. That makes it two full games lower than last season’s impost which I personally thought was way too high. This time around, I think there’s a nice discount on the Titans who had won no fewer than nine games under Vrabel’s watch before last year’s injury-plagued campaign. With reinforcements brought in to shore up the offensive line and secondary paired with the possibility of Deandre Hopkins joining the pass catching corps, there’s reason to believe Tennessee is once again a formidable opponent that will be in the thick of the AFC South title race till the bitter end.
Case for the Over
Those leaning towards betting the over on the Titans’ win total have several factors to consider. First, the team’s strength of schedule appears favorable, as they are slated to face the ninth-easiest in the NFL based on opponents’ combined win totals for this season per Sharp Football Analysis. Additionally, their schedule includes eight games against teams with winning records in 2022, potentially providing opportunities for victories. Furthermore, the Titans’ historical performance under head coach Mike Vrabel is worth noting. Vrabel’s teams have consistently overachieved, surpassing their win totals in four out of five seasons. This track record suggests that the Titans have the potential to outperform expectations, making the over an attractive option for bettors looking for action.
Case for the Under
While the case for the over is compelling, it’s important to consider the factors that may support betting under the Titans’ win total. The team’s struggles on offense in the previous season, coupled with Derrick Henry entering his age-30 season, raise concerns about their ability to consistently produce points. Without significant improvements in the receiving corps, the Titans will once again possess one of the game’s more vanilla attacks that will challenge them to reach their win total.
Additionally, the Titans’ pass defense ranked dead last in the NFL last season with the secondary struggling against top-tier quarterbacks. If they fail to address these issues adequately, they may struggle to win games against teams with strong passing attacks, potentially impacting their win total outcomes. The addition of slot CB Sean Murphy-Bunting could go a long way in helping cure the team’s ails should the veteran be able to build off last year’s exemplary campaign.
Tennessee Titans Football Schedule
Week 1: at Saints
Week 2: vs. Chargers
Week 3: at Browns
Week 4: vs. Bengals
Week 5: at Colts
Week 6: vs. Ravens (London)
Week 7: Bye Week
Week 8: vs. Falcons
Week 9: at Steelers (TNF)
Week 10: at Buccaneers
Week 11: at Jaguars
Week 12: vs. Panthers
Week 13: vs. Colts
Week 14: at Dolphins (MNF)
Week 15: vs. Texans
Week 16: vs. Seahawks
Week 17: at Texans
Week 18: vs. Jaguars
Tennessee Titans Season Win Total Analysis
The Tennessee Titans’ season win total odds for the upcoming NFL season present an intriguing betting opportunity. With the win total set at 7.5 games, bettors must carefully evaluate the team’s strengths, weaknesses, and schedule to make informed decisions. I personally love the improvements made along the offensive line. Being a diehard Chicago Bears fan, Pete Skoronski was on my very short list of tackles I wanted protecting Justin Fields’ blindside. The other just so happened to be the guy we got. Regardless, Tennessee’s O-Line is likely to be dramatically improved in 2023-24 with the Northwestern grad, Andre Dillard, and Daniel Brunskill giving the unit a major facelift.
While the front end of the schedule could present some problems, I like the way it shakes out from Week 12 forward with five of their seven total games set to go in the comforts of Nissan Stadium. Save for the Week 6 trip to London, Tennessee doesn’t have to do any major traveling either with it not partaking in a single game on the west coast. It also gets the added benefit of running up against a much easier cast of quarterbacks that includes a number of rookies with four of those matchups coming within the division. In Vrabel I trust! Provided all the pertinent pieces are healthy when it matters most, he’ll find a way to muck the AFC South title odds up.
Tennessee Titans Season Win Total Prediction: Over 7.5 +115
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