Tennessee vs. Georgia Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Huge College Football Playoff ramifications will be on the line Saturday night when the No. 7 Tennessee Volunteers and No. 12 Georgia Bulldogs go at one another “Between the Hedges” in Samford Stadium. Winners of seven straight in the recent rivalry, the Dawgs hit the NCAAF odds betting board installed 8.5-point home favorites with the total lined 49.5 at BetMGM Sportsbook. With Georgia’s backs against the wall already in possession of two losses, college football bettors have gravitated towards the home team pushing the number to beat out to 10 with 51 percent of the bets and only 43 percent of the money in favor of the line move. Expectations are of a lower scoring affair as well evidenced by the O/U down a full point to 48.5 by way of the under aligned with nearly 80 percent of the tickets and 90+ percent of the handle. Georgia’s won and covered each of the last two times it hosted this SEC rivalry dating back to 2020 with the total split and 51.5-points scored on average. Tennessee stands 1-1 SU and ATS on the true road, while Georgia’s won its three true home games by an average of 24.3 points per game against Tennessee Tech, Auburn, and Mississippi State. This will inarguably be its toughest home test of the season.

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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Georgia Bulldogs CFB Same Game Parlay:

While Tennessee has the advantage of only having one loss on the resume, it will inarguably tumble down the CFP rankings should a loss be incurred in Athens with the schedule strength Josh Heupel’s kids have run up against laughable at best. Sure, there’s a win against the Alabama Crimson Tide on the resume, but it was hardly dominant with Nico Iamaleava and the offense once again going scoreless in the first half before erupting for 24 over the final 30 minutes to log the outright win as 3.5-point home dogs. Since then, Tennessee has won two straight but failed to cover heavy numbers against both Kentucky and Mississippi State. For one reason or another, Tennessee’s offense continues to fail getting off the runway with it only averaging 24.5 points per game in SEC play. Even with Iamaleava listed as questionable for this bout due to a concussion, Tennessee possesses a running game and defense that could allow for going into hostile territory and grinding out an ugly win against any team in the country—especially against the highly inconsistent Bulldogs. So long as Tennessee continues to move the chains on third down, much like it has all season long (#3); it can shorten the game by taking the air out of the ball by feeding Dylan Sampson until the clock reads double zeroes.

We were all in on the Bulldogs going down in defeat in Oxford last Saturday. It would’ve been nice to see Carson Beck and Co. at least go down swinging by putting a few more points on the board, but beggars can’t be choosers. Either way, this is a must-win game for the home team with it highly unlikely the selection committee can do much of anything to get a three-loss team into the College Football Playoff—even with the field expanded to 12 teams. With that the case, I fully expect Kirby Smart to have his kids locked in and ready to go in only their fourth game to be played in front of the Samford Stadium faithful. With UGA’s disappointing ground game (#104) not likely to get much done versus a stout Vols run D that serves up a paltry 100 yards per game (#9), Beck’s right arm will go a long way in deciding the final outcome of this match with the longshot Heisman contender (250-1) being ultra-reliant upon Dillon Bell, Arian Smith, and Dominic Lovett to make hay. Easier said than done against a feisty Vols pass D that also rates out amongst the best in the nation (#15).

Regardless of whether Iamaleava goes or not, this is still a ton of points the homebased Bulldogs are laying at BetMGM with their CFP hopes on the line. Should it be Gaston Moore that gets the start for the visitors, I still expect Tennessee to be extremely ground-centric and bank on its junior running back to help lead the team to victory. Though positive regression is likely, Georgia has been an extreme money burner this season evidenced by its 2-7 record against the closing college football betting lines. I truly don’t envision the Bulldogs losing this game, but I also don’t foresee it running away and hiding. With that the case, I recommend taking the points and hitting the under for the same-game parlay, then sitting back and watching Tennessee ugly up the game to force the Dawgs to earn it.

• TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS +10
• TENNESSEE/GEORGIA UNDER 48.5

Bet CFB Same Game Parlays at BetMGM Sportsbook