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September 20, 2024Tennessee vs. Oklahoma Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap
We ended up splitting both legs of the recommended same game parlay offered up in the Top-25 matchup between the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers and No. 15 Oklahoma Sooners in front of a packed Memorial Stadium. I recommended taking the 7.5-points on the NCAAF odds with the home dogged Sooners and also touted hitting the under of 57.5-points with the belief OU would ugly it up enough to remain competitive. We ended up getting the best of the number in both markets. However, it didn’t much matter with the point spread that went off the board +5.5 with the Vols in full control of the match after getting out to as big as a 22-3 lead entering the fourth quarter before serving up a couple window dressing scores to make the 25-15 final score a bit more respectable. Though the backdoor was left open, Boomer Sooner was unable to come up with the onside kick that could’ve potentially led to a miraculous cover. Thankfully, the under allowed us to take the game in sweat free with the 40 combined points never once threatening our position on the under.
Truth be told, Oklahoma simply had no business sharing the same field with Nico Iamaleava and Co. Due to Josh Heupel’s affinity to the program, regardless of being fired before latching on with Tennessee, his decision to keep his foot off the gas ultimately allowed us to split the positions taken. While the Sooners defense was inarguably gritty, Tennessee was never put in a position where it had to strut its stuff over the game’s final 30 minutes. Jackson Arnold was highly ineffective. So much so that Michael Hawkins Jr. was forced to come off the bench to put a spark in the offense. When it was said and done, the Vols outgained the Sooners 359-224, won the time of possession battle by 10+ minutes after rushing the pigskin 49 times for 165 yards, and converted 6 of 19 third down tries never once needing to go for it on fourth down. On the flipside, OU converted 20 percent of its 15 third down tries and needed to keep drives alive on fourth down three separate times with one conversion. Tennessee was clearly the better of the two teams, and it shows over at BetMGM Sportsbook with its 12-1 rate of return to win the national championship the sixth shortest on the betting board behind Oregon, Alabama, Texas, Ohio State, and Georgia—the Vols entered the year 40-1 to pull off the feat!
Tennessee vs. Oklahoma Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions
All eyes will be on Norman Saturday night when Josh Heupel returns to Memorial Stadium with the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers by his side looking to make a statement against the No. 15 Oklahoma Sooners in an attempt to become an even bigger player in the race to the expanded College Football Playoff. The Vols have been one of the bigger surprises of the young college football betting season ripping through the likes of Chattanooga, NC State, and Kent State to enter this tilt a moneymaking 3-0 both straight up and against the point spread. Boomer Sooner enters its first SEC clash as a member of the conference also undefeated at 3-0, but 2-1 ATS after struggling to get by Houston as four-touchdown favorites before taking care of business against Tulane last week. The last time these heavyweight programs crossed paths, OU went into Neyland Stadium and scored the 31-24 win and cover as 2.5-point favorites back in 2015.
BetMGM Sportsbook opened the NCAAF odds for this SEC opener with the Vols installed 6-point road favorites and the total lined 60. Keep in mind, the preseason “Game of the Year” lines initially had Oklahoma installed 3.5-point favorites to win the program’s first SEC home game. Current action reports relay heavy support in favor of visiting Tennessee with it taking in upwards of 80 percent of the bets and 90 percent of the money forcing a market correction up to -7.5. Oklahoma has gone off the board dogged at home only twice since the turn of the century—they’re 1-1 SU and ATS in those games with the last occurring in 2016 after dropping an ugly 45-24 decision to the Ohio State Buckeyes as 1.5-point dogs.
Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.
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Tennessee Volunteers vs. Oklahoma Sooners CFB Same Game Parlay:
The Volunteers will inarguably be the books biggest liability of the week 4 college football betting slate. They don’t stand a chance! Vols are hanging a 60-burger! Josh Heupel’s revenge! Even BetMGM’s gatekeeper has let it be known how little interest the homebased Sooners are getting for this week’s clash: here’s the receipt. I get it, Tennessee has been nothing short of a money printing press through its first three games outscoring the opposition by the aggregate score of 191-13 and covering the closing CFB betting line by 80 points. The offense, led by Heisman hopeful Nico Iamaleava (+800), has been nothing short of a joy to watch with it racking up 600+ yards (#2) and denting scoreboards for 63+ points (#1) per game. On top of that, the defense has been relentless serving up just over 160 yards and allowing 4.3 points per game all the while shutting down both the pass (#4) and run (#3).
But here’s the thing; this will be the team’s first road test and it just so happens to be coming in a venue the opponent has lost in a grand total of three times over the last 30 instances. While Oklahoma hasn’t been anywhere close to being as impressive as the highly touted Vols, there’s still loads of talent on Brent Venables’ sideline, and it won’t take kindly to the fact that seemingly everyone—outside of Norman— isn’t giving them a chance in hell of covering, let alone winning, this huge top-25 matchup. I get that it hasn’t been pretty for the Sooners from an offensive viewpoint with Jackson Arnold clocking in as the unit’s leading rusher. However, his defense has the ability to prevent Dylan Sampson from running wild on the ground forcing Tennessee’s young gunslinger to beat them with his arm. While that’s certainly within the realm of possibility, I’ll bank on the environment playing a role in his first true road test with 80,000+ screaming fans making his job that much more difficult of doing so.
While the Sooners gross inability to move the chains is a concern on third down is a concern (#95), I just feel the home team finds a way to ugly this one up enough to keep it competitive throughout. Remember, that 51-10 blowout of NC State was only 10-3 late in the second quarter before a turnover completely shifted the momentum. I expect a similar scenario Saturday night, with one or two key turnovers likely playing a pivotal role. Oklahoma has excelled at pressuring opposing quarterbacks, tallying 10 sacks and averaging a nation-best 3.3 takeaways per game. Tennessee has yet to face a defensive front as aggressive as the one led by R Mason Thomas. If the Vols can go into this venue and win by margin, I’ll tip my cap, but until that happens, I’m taking the points. I expect this to be an ugly, heavyweight brawl where the winner lands the knockout blow in the final rounds. Anticipate even more support for Tennessee leading up to kickoff, so watch the line and grab the best number possible.
- OKLAHOMA SOONERS (+7.5)
- UNDER 57.5