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The PGA Tour heads to the mainland this week after the last two weeks in Hawaii and it is Justin Thomas listed as the favorite to win The American Express in California. Xander Schauffele was expected to play in this event, but he withdrew on Monday, so it is Thomas as the current favorite. This event will be played on three courses and the cut will occur after Saturday’s third round. The top 65 players and ties will then play on Sunday on the Stadium Course. Nick Dunlap became the first amateur to win on the PGA Tour since 1991 when he won this event a year ago. Dunlap is now a professional and he will look to defend his title. The field is a little better this week than what we saw last week in Honolulu, as joining Thomas are Tony Finau, Patrick Cantlay, Wyndham Clark and Sam Burns, among others. Thomas is listed as the favorite at odds of +1200 at Caesars and is followed closely by Burns, Sungjae Im and Cantlay. Let’s look at The American Express odds and picks.
Check out the latest The American Express odds at Caesars.
Venue: Three courses are used for this event. The Pete Dye Stadium Course which is a par 72 that measures 7,210 yards, La Quinta Country Club which is a par 72 that is 7,060 yards and the Nicklaus Tournament Course which is a par 72 that is 7,147 yards. Players rotate courses Thursday, Friday and Saturday and then play the Stadium Course on Sunday.
Last Year: Nick Dunlap shocked everyone last year as he became the first amateur to win a PGA Tour event since 1991. He shot 29-under par to win by one shot over Christiaan Bezuidenhout. Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas and Kevin Yu tied for third.
TV Coverage: Golf Channel
The American Express Odds
Justin Thomas +1200
Sam Burns +1300
Sungjae Im +1400
Patrick Cantlay +1400
Tony Finau +2500
Kurt Kitayama +2500
Tom Kim +3500
Si Woo Kim +3500
Wyndham Clark +3500
J.J. Spaun +4000
Patrick Fishburn +4000
Max Greyserman +4000
Harry Hall +4500
Nicolas Echavarria +4500
Will Zalatoris +4500
Nick Dunlap +4500
Eric Cole +4500
Cameron Young +4500
Denny McCarthy +5000
Davis Thompson +5000
Tom Hoge +5500
Ben Griffin +5500
J.T. Poston +5500
Lee Hodges +5500
Brian Harman +5500
Keith Mitchell +6000
Sepp Straka +6000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7000
Nick Taylor +7500
Mark Hubbard +7500
Jason Day +8000
Michael Thorbjornsen +8000
Adam Hadwin +8000
Cameron Davis +8000
Doug Ghim +8000
Daniel Berger +8000
Jesper Svensson +8500
Rickie Fowler +9000
Bud Cauley +9000
Beau Hossler +9000
Rico Hoey +9000
Kevin Yu +9000
Jhonattan Vegas +9000
All other players are listed at odds of +10000 or more.
Favorite
Justin Thomas +1200
It was another favorite that didn’t come through last week when Hideki Matsuyama failed to win in Honolulu. Matsuyama won the previous week when he wasn’t favored, but he really never seriously contended last week as the favorite. I say every week that golf betting favorites don’t win often enough to be profitable and that the only player worth considering as a golf betting favorite is Scottie Scheffler. This was going to be a week where Scheffler played, but his hand injury has meant he won’t return until Pebble Beach. Thomas is overdue to win but we have been saying that for a while now and I am not taking him as the favorite.
Value Picks
Tom Kim +3500
I am really surprised that the odds on Kim are this high. I know I am stubborn sometimes and I am not getting off the Kim bandwagon, as I think he will be much improved this season. He tied for 6th at this event in 2023 and shot 23-under par. He has been excellent on easy courses in recent seasons and I think he can win this week.
Max Greyserman +4000
There is no doubt that Greyserman is a very good young player. He made it into the Top 50 in the FedExCup standings in this rookie season. He has played well of late with a 2nd at the ZOZO Championship, a 4th at the World Wide Technology Championship and 24th last time at The Sentry. He is another player who does well on courses where scoring is excellent.
Will Zalatoris +4500
I am going to be all over Zalatoris this season, as I think a huge bounceback year is in store for him. He is now healthy and his game looks really good. He also has played well on this course in the past. I think he is a serious contender this week and we get 45-1.
Eric Cole +4500
You have to like the chances of Cole this week, as this course favors his game a lot. He is all about second shots and this course is made for him. He is still looking for his first PGA Tour win and it could come this week.
Bud Cauley +9000
Cauley has been in and out of action for a while with various injuries. He has nine events left on his Major Medical Extension so he needs to move up in the standings. He has looked better of late and he can definitely play well at PGA West, as he has a number of very good finishes including a 3rd in 2017.
Mac Meissner +10000
Why not a bomb this week at big odds? Meissner was really good on approach shots last week at Waialae and he should be even better this week. He is starting to play courses for the second time and he is a player who could surprise this week.Check out the American Express odds at Caesars.
