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June 9, 2022Fans are presented with an exciting title fight over the weekend as UFC light heavyweight champion Glover Teixeira faces off against betting favorite Jiri Prochazka. Teixeira has reeled off three straight wins to land that light heavyweight belt, but Vegas doesn’t believe he’ll hang on to it long.
This matchup will be historic in the sense that it’s the first ever UFC pay-per-view event to be held in Southeast Asia. Saturday’s fighters will square off in the Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang.
While the venue may be new, the participants are well known. The 42-year-old Teixeira enters as the champion with 40 career fights under his belt. In those matchups, the veteran has posted an impressive 33-7 overall record. That includes having won 16 of his 21 UFC bouts.
On the other side of the ring is Prochazka, who’s much younger at 29 years of age. While he’s won 28 of his 31 professional fights (including 25 knockouts!), his UFC resume is much smaller. Prochazka has competed in just a pair of fights under the UFC flag, though he is a perfect 2-0 in those matchups.
Let’s compare these two fighters as we give odds, best bets, and a prediction for Saturday night’s match.
UFC Fight Night Preview
Glover Teixeira vs. Jiri Prochazka
Date and Time: Saturday, June 11, 2022, at 11:30 PM EST
Location: Singapore Indoor Stadium, Kallang, Singapore
Odds: Glover Teixeira (+165) vs. Jiri Prochazka (-210)
TV Coverage: PPV
Betting Odds
Despite the fact that Teixeira holds the light heavyweight belt, it’s Prochazka who enters as the UFC betting favorite. The younger Prochazka boasts -210 odds to win compared to Teixeira’s +165 money line chances according to Sugar House Sportsbook.
If those results come to fruition, it will be Prochazka who walks away with the light heavyweight title. And he’s certainly got a shot. Vegas has locked him in as the favorite for a reason.
Prochazka boasts immense strength, as noted by his 25 career knockouts. He’s KO’d more than 80% of his opponents including both of his foes in the UFC. Due to that knockout ability, the sportsbooks don’t see this matchup going to the final bell. The likelihood of an early decision comes in at an overwhelming -480 while the odds that it goes the distance sit at +320.
Prochazka’s most likely method of victory is by way of TKO, with -143 odds. He also has -165 odds to win by finish. Compare that to his +700 odds of winning by decision and +1600 odds of winning by submission.
Teixeira, on the other hand, is more likely to land a submission victory. The veteran boasts +320 chances of a submission win while sitting at +700 by way of decision and +900 for a knockout. While Teixeira has KO’d 17 foes, his most likely move is getting his opponent to the mat.
And don’t count him out. The 42-year-old has posted a 7-3 mark as an underdog, including in his latest win to land the light heavyweight belt.
In his 21 UFC bouts, Teixeira has posted six KOs, seven submissions, and three decisions. Two of his five losses have been by knockout while three have gone the distance.
Where Teixeira may struggle is defending against Prochazka’s size advantage. Prochazka possesses a one-inch advantage in height and is four inches better in reach. Teixeira is just 6-5 when going against opponents with a longer reach as his game consists of getting close and bringing his foes to the floor.
Trends to follow:
- Teixeira has won by submission in four of his last six fights
- Teixeira has won six straight matchups
- Prochazka is 2-0 in UFC against opponents with a shorter reach
- Prochazka has knocked out 100% of his UFC foes
UFC Fight Night Prediction
This is an odd case of the underdog holding the title. Unfortunately, that belt will soon switch hands. Look for Prochazka to use his youth and power to deliver a knockout blow as he leaves Singapore a champion.
The Pick: Jiri Prochazka to win (-210)
Best Bet: Jiri Prochazka to win by KO (-143)