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February 17, 2022Jamahal Hill is getting a lot of respect from the UFC oddsmakers, as he is listed as more than a 2-1 favorite against Johnny Walker for Saturday’s UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill. This main event can be seen on ESPN+ and is part of a 12-fight card. Walker is the more experienced fighter, as he comes into this bout with a record of 18-6, while Hill is 9-1. Let’s look at some UFC prop picks for the main event between Walker and Hill and some props for the bout between Abdul Alhassan Razak and Joaquin Buckley.
Walker vs. Hill
Walker is 18-6 in his career, including 4-3 in the UFC. He has shown some good power, but he is also subject to getting hit hard. All four of his UFC wins came by KO or TKO and one of his losses was by TKO. Of his 18 wins, 15 have come by KO or TKO and all 15 of those wins were in the first round.
Hill is 9-1 overall and 3-1 in the UFC. He also has excellent power, with two of his three UFC wins coming by KO or TKO and his one loss was by TKO. Five of his nine wins overall have come by KO or TKO and he has two first round finishes.
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill Prop Picks
We know that both of these fighters are going to stay standing and look to land the big shot. It shouldn’t take long for this fight to end. The rounds are listed at just 1.5 so oddsmakers don’t think this fight will last long. I think you can make a case that Walker has some value at +195 at SugarHouse Sportsbook. I also think there are some solid prop bets for this fight. If we think this fight is going to end in a finish, and that definitely seems likely, then we can bet a couple of props that have some value.
Walker to Win by KO, TKO or DQ +300
If you think Walker has a chance to win then you are better off taking him to win by KO, TKO or DQ at +300. Almost all of his wins have been by knockout, and you get 3-1 for him to win this fight by knockout finish.
Hill to Win by KO, TKO or DQ -141
If you think Hill is going to win then taking him at -141 to get the knockout finish seems better than laying the nearly 3-1 price.
Abdul Alhassan Razak vs. Joaquin Buckley
If you thought the fight between Walker and Hill was going to be a striking battle that ends quickly then you haven’t seen anything yet. The fight between Alhassan Razak and Buckley is going to be full of fireworks and it shouldn’t last long. Alhassan Razak is 11-4 in his career with all 11 of his wins coming by KO or TKO. Buckley is 13-4 in his career with 10 of those wins coming by KO or TKO.
Abdul Alhassan Razak vs. Joaquin Buckley Prop Picks
Buckley is listed as a slight favorite in this fight with the rounds listed at 1.5. It seems extremely unlikely this fight goes the distance and while I don’t like laying big money that often, the -286 on the fight not going the distance looks like a good bet.
I think you could take Buckley to win by KO, TKO or DQ at +115 and also take Alhassan Razak to win by KO, TKO or DQ at odds of +215. As long as one of the two got the knockout finish you would make money.
Fight to End in Rounds 1 or 2 -167
If you think the fight is going to end within the first two rounds you can get this prop at odds of -167. It seems really unlikely this fight makes it to the third round, so this prop looks to be a good bet. I also saw a prop at SugarHouse for the fight to end within the first 60 seconds at +700 but the odds are already dropping as it is now down to +500 so the value is pretty much gone.
Check out the latest UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill odds at SugarHouse Sportsbook.