USC vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

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USC vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

Two of my recommended five parlay legs paid out in last week’s Big Ten clash between the No. 11 USC Trojans and No. 18 Michigan Wolverines with 110K+ looking on from the “Big House” along with millions of others around the globe. I recommended laying the 5.5-points with Lincoln Riley and the visiting Trojans and paired it with the full game over, Miller Moss exceeding his passing yards prop, and a pair of touchdown scorer props with the belief USC’s offense would dictate the flow of the game. Once it was announced that Alex Orji would get the start for the home team, the Over/Under started its descent ultimately closing 44 after hitting the board in the low 50s. That really peaked my interest considering how susceptible the Wolverines had been through the air paired with my belief that Moss would take full advantage. As confident I was with the game combining for a high scorer, I got sick to my stomach watching the NCAAF odds decrease immediately after locking my own personal bet in at -5.5 with the number to beat going off the board -4.

It proved to be much tougher than expected for Moss to exceed his passing yards prop, though he ultimately got the job done for us exceeding his 263.5 yard impost by going for 283. But did so only completing 28 of 51 passes for 5.5 yards per pass attempt. While his favorite target proved to be Zachariah Branch who turned his six receptions into a team-high 98 receiving yards, the sophomore wide receiver failed to get into the end zone. Neither did Lake McRee who inexplicably became an afterthought in this one (3 catches, -3 yards). We had a shot to get ahead of the number when Moss threw his third touchdown of the game putting USC up 24-20 with 7:06 remaining and the defense coming up with what I believe was its fourth straight three-and-out. But instead of going for the jugular, Riley played it safe and punted the ball back to the Wolverines with around four minutes remaining. Michigan would then proceed to go on a 10 play, 89-yard drive that was capped off with Kalel Mullings second touchdown of the game on fourth and goal from the Trojans 1-yuard line propelling Big Blue to the exhilarating 27-24 comeback win at Caesars Sportsbook sending Ann Arbor into a frenzy.

USC vs. Michigan Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

With the morning slate offering little intrigue, Week 4 college football betting action gets a jolt early in the afternoon when Lincoln Riley and the No. 11 USC Trojans visit the “Big House” to battle the No. 18 Michigan Wolverines in their first-ever meeting as Big 10 members. USC comes into this game well-rested after a bye week, starting the season 2-0 SU and ATS, including an impressive win over LSU and a 48-0 demolition of Utah State. Michigan, meanwhile, will look to rebound after a tough 31-12 home loss to Texas in its only real litmus test so far this season. Another defeat at home would mark the first time since 2014 that the Wolverines have lost two, or possibly even more, games in front of their home crowd in the same season, adding extra pressure for “Big Blue” to get back into the College Football Playoff discussion.

The Maize and Blue have grossly failed to live up to the preseason expectations put forth by linemakers with it initially lined whopping 10.5-point favorites to win this game on the “Game of the Year” NCAAF odds posted at Caesars Sportsbook over the summer. Sunday’s rerelease hit the board with the Trojans installed 6.5-point road chalk. Though action reports find USC taking in a high majority of the bets (73%) and 53 percent of the money, it’s Michigan the betting line has moved in favor of with the Wolverines currently listed as 5.5-point home dogs—looks like some respected money expects the home dog to bark! The Over/Under hit the board 45.5 and has since been bet down to 44 with the under hogging nearly 90 percent of the tickets and handle.

Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.

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USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverines CFB Same Game Parlay:

Through just two played games, I’m already accepting defeat for hitting the under of USC’s 7.5-game season win total. As poorly the defense played a season ago paired with a new shot caller under center and hellacious schedule, I figured it would take time for the Trojans to find their bearings. As eye-opening a start Miller Moss and the offense has gotten out to, it’s the defense that’s impressed me the most with it looking like a completely different unit than the one that took the field just a short season ago—hat tip to D’Anton Lynn for that! The Trojans might not be forcing turnovers (#72) or accruing sacks (#74), but they’re stymying opposing ground games (#32) and coming up big on third down (#30).

The insertion of Alex Orji under center makes Michigan even more one-dimensional than it already was under Davis Warren in my opinion. Not known for his passing ability, Orji will aim to ignite Michigan’s lackluster offense using his dual-threat capability. But with USC’s defense excelling against the run (#32), it’s doubtful Orji will provide the answer, at least this week. Eventually, Michigan will need to throw the ball consistently once they fall behind a few scores, and that’s where trouble is likely to arise. The Trojans are the side playing with all the juice right now, and they possess by far the better of the two quarterbacks with Moss currently a 20-1 longshot at Caesars to win the Heisman Trophy. I expect that offering to shorten up once the clock reads double zeroes in this one!

Seven of the Trojan’s nine overall touchdowns have come on the ground. Michigan has been a stonewall against the run (#14) in allowing 70 yards per game and only 2.7 yards per carry (#19). It has however been susceptible through the air with it serving up north of 234 yards per game (#89) and six overall passing touchdowns. Look for the Trojans’ pass catchers to undergo a heavy dose of positive regression in this one, and for its two standouts, Zachariah Branch and Lake Mcree, to experience the thrill of scoring a tuddy in the Big House. Much like Texas did before it, look for USC to go about its business and play keep away, forcing Michigan to play catch-up until the final gun. The over is likely to hit as the Wolverines scramble to stay in the game.