Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions Recap

Though we ended up splitting on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points and the under, the matchup between Jayden Daniels and Lamar Jackson played out much as expected, showcasing Daniels’ potential alongside the reigning MVP. It felt like watching a mentor-student dynamic, with Daniels possibly poised to surpass Jackson’s accomplishments in the future—though that’s a debate for another time. Let’s break down why we didn’t hit both legs of the same-game parlay at PROLINE+.

For starters, don’t let the 30-23 final score fool you into thinking this match was anything but a dominant home win and NFL odds cover for the host Ravens. Sure, it was close for a half, but Baltimore kept the Commies at an arm’s reach throughout the final 30 minutes even going up 27-13 at the tail end of the third quarter. The only reason Washington kept it interesting was because of its ability to close out long, penalty aided drives with touchdowns. As it is, the Ravens were never in a position to lose the game regardless of barely going on to cover the closing 6.5-point spread. 

I am however a bit still pissed off about the 53 combined points being just enough to exceed the 50.5-point closing total. The teams combined for just short of 800 yards, yet it still took a 49-yarder from Austin Seibert to push it over with just under three minutes remaining. Had the Ravens not been flagged for what I thought was an extremely questionable pass interference penalty, I don’t think the Washington Commanders would’ve even gotten into scoring range on its final drive. Regardless, Baltimore best improve its red zone defense if in fact it’s to be the bonafide threat the NFL futures odds say it is over at PROLINE+. After allowing the Commanders to hit paydirt on two of three penetrations, the Ravens are serving up 2.7 red zone scores per game—only the Carolina Panthers have been worse through six weeks of the NFL betting campaign!

A surprising battle of division leaders is set to go down in the Charm City in Week 6 NFL betting action when the Washington Commanders invade M&T Bank Stadium to run with the Baltimore Ravens. An intriguing pairing no doubt with Jayden Daniels the current -230 favorite to win the Offensive Rookie of the year Award and Lamar Jackson neck-and-neck with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen to take home a second straight MVP Award. This match marks the first between the franchises since 2020 when the Ravens went into Landover and scored the 31-17 win and cover as two-touchdown favorites.

The lookahead NFL odds for this non-conference bout hit the board with the Ravens lined 7-point favorites and the Over/Under (O/U) set at 49.5. Action reports from find 56% of the bets going the way of the visiting Commies with 53% of the money attached to the home team. Even so, the number to beat has decreased a half-point to 6.5. The Over/Under has seen nothing but one-way traffic on the over with 70+ percent of the tickets and handle forcing a 1-point market correction up to 50.5. The total got as high as 51.5 before coming back down. Either way, total bettors are expecting both quarterbacks to put on a show and put a jolt into what looks to be a pretty dull morning slate.

Reduced juice betting is one of the best ways for any sports bettor to save money and far too many people don’t take advantage of it. If you are not playing at a sportsbook that offers reduced juice betting then you are simply giving away money.

Washington Commanders vs. Baltimore Ravens Same Game Parlay Picks, Odds & Predictions

So are the Commanders overachieving, or is the coaching staff the elixir the roster needed to finally get it playing to its capabilities? You can argue both ways. What I do know is that I hit the over of Washington’s 6.5-game win total odds at the outset of the NFL betting season, and I’m even shocked to see four wins in the coffer through five played games. I figured it would be 2-3 to this point winning both games at home and dropping the trio on the road. It brings me great pleasure to see their adjusted in-season win total all the way up to 9.5 right now! That being said, I’m not entirely sure the team is anywhere near as good as its 4-1 SU and ATS records dictate. It defeated the Giants due to New York not having a healthy kicker at its disposal. Let’s not even discuss last week’s handling of the Browns—Cleveland’s a mess right now! While it disposed of the same Cincinnati team Baltimore needed overtime, and a whole lotta luck, to dispose of last week, are we convinced Washington has the passing prowess Joe Burrow and the Bengals utilized last week? I’m not sold regardless of Washington coming in owners of the league’s 14th-ranked passing attack.

Adding to the unknown as to whether Washington is ready to hang with the big boys or not is a defense—that while no doubt playing hard for new head coach Dan Quinn—still has a laundry-list of weaknesses that a Lamar-led attack will be able to exploit with regularity. The Commies are serving up 130 yards on the ground (#22) and hefty 5.1 yards per carry to opposing running backs. The assignment this week comes in the form of Derrick Henry who’s busted out of the gates with 572 rushing yards and 6 TD for his new team. Adding to the nightmare of keeping Baltimore in check on the ground is the dual-threat of Jackson who will undoubtedly test Washington’s ability to prevent opposing quarterbacks from using their legs. It passed that test with flying colors against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals a few weeks back, but it’s pretty safe to assume the Commanders won’t enjoy a double-digit lead a majority of this one. Once adjustments are made, it’ll open up passing lanes for Jackson to take advantage of against what I still deem to be a very beatable Washington secondary.

Having just climbed over the breakeven point and coming off a crazy overtime win in the ‘Natti, I expect all hands to be on deck for this non-conference tilt. Washington has been a nice story to this point, but I don’t foresee it going into another AFC North opponent’s house and coming out with a win, let alone an NFL odds cover. Look for Baltimore to get in, lean on its ground game, take the air out of the ball, then get out with the win and cover in tow.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5)

UNDER 50.5