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February 20, 2024Another loaded slate of college hoops betting goodness is locked in for Wednesday night with a number of intriguing matchups set to go down in the SEC between No. 24 Florida and No. 13 Alabama, in the ACC between No. 8 Duke and Miami, and in the Big East between Providence and Xavier. While those heavyweight matchups get the national spotlight, I’ve honed in on three under the radar games worthy of attacking at Caesars Sportsbook with the ultimate goal of cashing in some Hump Day college basketball parlay tickets – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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Richmond Spiders vs. Rhode Island Rams
Chris Mooney’s Spiders have arguably been one of the best teams in the Atlantic 10 this college basketball betting season with the squad a moneymaking 10-2 SU and ATS in league play. Per Torvik’s conference-only efficiency metrics, Richmond ranks 11th in AdjO in averaging 1.064 points per possession but backs it up with the league’s No. 1 ranked AdjD serving up just 0.959 PPP. It’s gotten the job done on the road as well with it 5-1 SU and ATS versus conference opposition with the under cashing in all but one matchup. I’m expecting some points to hit the board in their lone regular season meeting with a Rhode Island team looking to snap two-game losing streaks both overall and at home.
The Rams have shown some spunk of late with it 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS over its last three games after throttling GW on the road, dropping a tough 81-79 decision at UMass as 11-point road dogs, and then getting handled by Loyola-Chicago last time out. RI ranks sixth in AdjO in league play (1.110 PPP) and 13th in AdjD (1.112 PPP) resulting in the over cashing in eight of 12 conference tilts with 154.9 points scored on average. I’m expecting Richmond to be laying multiple possessions in a game likely lined in the low 140s, and will take those points looking for Jaden House and Co. to be a thorn in the Spiders’ side leading to points routinely denting the board.
CBB SAME GAME PARLAY: RHODE ISLAND | OVER
South Florida Bulls vs. UTSA Roadrunners
I’ve made a mint hitting UTSA overs at Caesars all season and won’t stop now with Jordan Ivy-Curry and his mates returning home to take on a South Florida team that will undoubtedly invade the Lone Star State a bit too fat and happy after just skunking Florida Atlantic. The Roadrunners leave much to be desired on paper with the Pomeroy Ratings ranking it 287th overall mostly due to its sieve-like defense that allows an insane 1.178 points per possession (#357). There’s absolutely no beating around the bush when it comes to breaking UTSA down at the defensive end of the court. It allows 83+ points per game (#362) on 45.7 percent shooting (#306) and is allergic to guarding the perimeter (#361).
However, it’s the better rebounding team in this matchup (#161), and it plays at a breakneck pace (#53) which leads me to believe USF has issues attaining separation on the scoreboard in this quintessential letdown spot coming off such a huge home win that allowed it to remain perched in the AAC’s catbird seat. The Roadrunners will likely be catching double-digits with the O/U likely in the upper-150s. UTSA shot 38 percent and drained 10 3-pointers to put 72 on the board against the Bulls in the first meeting that combined for 161 points which eclipsed the closing 158-point total. Back home where the Roadrunners stand 1-5 SU in league play but average just short of 80 points per game, look for a barnburner to break out which could have South Florida on upset alert.
CBB SAME GAME PARLAY: UTSA | OVER
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos
A biggie is lined up to close Hump Day’s slate when Isaiah Stevens and the Rams invade The Pit looking to sweep the season rivalry from Jamal Mashburn Jr. and the Lobos. Easier said than done however with New Mexico losers in three of its last five games and looking to put an end to a surprising two-game losing streak in their own digs. There hasn’t been a more efficient offense in the Mountain West than the one Richard Pitino’s kids have brought to the hardwood with it averaging a healthy 1.174 points per possession in conference play per Torvik’s most up to date efficiency metrics. It’s backed that excellence up with a defense ranked third overall only behind Colorado State and San Diego State. Before dropping two straight in front of the hometown faithful to Boise State and UNLV, the Lobos had rattled off 11 straight victories (9-1 ATS) and averaged nearly 87 points a game.
While CSU is currently on a hot streak having win five of its last six games both SU and against the closing college basketball odds, it’s been a different team on the road in league play with it managing a lone win and point spread cover through six tries. Even though UNM shot 47 percent in the first meeting and fell by a 76-68 final count as 4-point road dogs, the Rams cruised to the win due to some home cooking that saw CSU shoot 10 more free throws. Now back on the comforts of their home hardwood where they’ve defeated CSU eight of the last 10 times (5-4-1 ATS), look for the pendulum to swing the other way and for Lobos to tally the margin win as multiple possession favorites in a low scorer.
CBB SAME GAME PARLAY: NEW MEXICO | UNDER
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