Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Ravens vs. Jaguars
December 15, 2023Blackjack Card Counting
December 18, 2023We didn’t cash a single anytime touchdown and split the yardage props last week. In other words, my NFL player prop best bets failed to deliver and Caesars Sportsbook got the best of us because of it. Jaxon Smith-Njigba came out the most heavily targeted Seahawks receiver, but the five other pass catchers with at least two receptions all caught a pass of 20+ yards while JSN’s high clocked in at 11 – go figure! Jared “Gofful” made an appearance in Chicago and killed any shots of cashing either Sam LaPorta positions. C.J. Stroud threw for less than 100 yards before getting concussed which made for an easy ticket cash on his under. Tyjae Spears over 38.5 combo yards was the easiest ticket cash of the week. Wish I threw a year’s worth of mortgage payments down on it! Here’s to getting back in the black by hammering some Week 15 NFL player props – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
Bet Week 15 Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook
David Montgomery Over 66.5 Rushing Yards -123 | 100+ Rushing Yards +310 | 2+ Touchdowns +250
Panic is setting in in Motown with Dan Campbell’s knee biters dropping two of three to give the Vikings and Packers a path towards stealing the NFC North title away from them. I expect the door on that opportunity to get slammed shut in Week 15 against Denver whom I fully expect Ben Johnson to pound the rock against to help lead the team to a victory; likely by margin. While much improved over the last three weeks in allowing 90+ rushing yards per game (No. 7), Denver still rates out with the league’s worst run D that still serves up an average of 144 YPG. With Taylor Decker and Frank Ragnow back at practice this week, it looks like the Motor Kitties will have their offensive line back intact which bodes extremely well for the league’s fifth ranked rushing attack. That’s great news for both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery, but we’ll hitch our wagon to the veteran who the Lions lean upon heavily when holding onto a lead. Look for him to bust out Saturday night against the road weary Broncos with a fantasy showing that has his owners grinning from ear-to-ear.
Jerry Jeudy Over 45.5 Receiving Yards -115 | 75+ Receiving Yards +265 | Anytime Touchdown +275
On the other side of the coin, I fully expect Denver to be chasing a majority of the match forcing Russell Wilson to utilize the passing game heavily. While Courtland Sutton looks to be the obvious pass catcher to target on paper with he and Wilson connecting for a touchdown in two straight and seven of the last eight games, it’s Jerry Jeudy I’ll be targeting instead after the Broncos maligned pass catcher put forth a stinker last week that was plagued by a number of costly drops. While adept at stopping the run (No. 9), Detroit remains a sieve against the pass (No. 19) with the secondary serving up 7.6 yards per attempt over the last three weeks (No. 28) and 1.7 TD per game (No. 27). Hopefully Payton doesn’t reduce his snap share even more with it down to 57 percent last week. If he does, we’ll bank on Jeudy surprising and making the most of the limited work in this juicy spot against a very beatable Detroit secondary.
Tyler Allgeier Over 29.5 Rushing Yards -121 | 50+ Rushing Yards +270 | Anytime Touchdown +220
The Falcons are in a world of hurt after falling at home to Tampa Bay which allowed the Bucs to jump into the catbird seat of the NFC South. With only four games remaining on the docket and three set to go away from Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta needs to come out on top of this matchup with the rival Panthers in the worst of ways. To come up with the team’s third road win, I fully expect Arthur Smith to run his two-headed backfield monster into the ground regardless of Desmond Ridder and Drake London going HAM through the air last week against Tampa’s beat up secondary. The Panthers excel against the pass (No. 3) but have been ripped for 123.0 rushing yards per game (No. 22) and 4.2 yards per carry (No. 19) while serving up a league-worst 1.7 touchdowns per game over the last three weeks. Tyler Allgeier churned out his best showing of the NFL betting season against this defense way back in Week 1 turning his 15 carries into 75 yards and a pair of TD saunters. I expect him to get a double-digit allotment of carries in this contest and make the most of them when spelling Bijan Robinson. Averaging just short of 40 rushing YPG for the season, neither yardage impost is accounting for the heavier workload I envision so I’ll put my money where my mouth is and look for a huge showing from Atlanta’s RB2.
Kyler Murray Over 206.5 Passing Yards -117 | 300+ Passing Yards +750
This is probably just me wish casting since Kyler Murray is the QB1 of my home league fantasy team entering the playoffs with Justin Herbert going down to a season-ending finger injury, but I truly feel the Redbirds QB1 is being severely disrespected by Caesars oddsmakers in this spot. Save for that weird weather tarnished game in Pittsburgh, Murray has exceeded this impost in his three previous starts averaging just short of 240 passing yards per game without his full complement of pass catchers. It looks like all his pass catchers will be back for this game that finds Zona catching 12.5 points at home with a game total of 48; the second highest O/U of Week 15. With the Cardinals likely in catchup mode throughout and the Niners defense most beatable through the air where its forced to fend off the third-highest pass rate in the league behind only the Eagles and Jaguars, Murray should easily throw for 2+ spins and have an opportunity to log his first 300+ passing yard performance while in catch-up mode a bulk of the match..
Bet NFL Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook