Week 5 NFL Player Prop Best Bets

For the second straight week, we split our NFL player prop bets at Caesars Sportsbook but still banked some profit due to cashing in a number of anytime touchdown tickets. Josh Allen, James Cook, and Calvin Ridley all hit paydirt, but failed to exceed their rushing and receiving yard props. I’m still scratching my head trying to figure out how Ridley was only targeted twice; once in the first quarter which resulted in the touchdown and then again in the fourth – huh? Jaylen Warren destroyed his reception prop as expected, but only turned the six catches into 26 yards. While it was good enough to topple his yardage prop, it just goes to show how broken the Steelers offense currently is. I swung and missed targeting Marvin Mims Jr. for the touchdown, but the rookie once again impressed with his limited utilization going for 48 yards on two targets to smash his 27.5 receiving yards prop. Payton has no choice but to give the kid more burn – his time will come in short order! Closing it all out was my worst call of the week on the under of Mark Andrews’ receiving yards prop. However, the Browns defense packed it in once it figured DLR wasn’t leading the team back from a daunting deficit. I think that game played much differently had Watson been healthy. Let’s see if we can bang out some more player prop best bet winners in Week 5 betting action – SLAM YOUR MAN!!

Bet Week 5 Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook

Tank Dell Over 41.5 Receiving Yards -115 + Anytime Touchdown +220

C.J. Stroud is currently the +175 frontrunner to win the Offensive Rookie of the Year Award heading into Week 5 with the Texans QB1 becoming just the fifth quarterback in NFL history since 2000 to average 290+ passing yards through the first four games of their respective career. Other players on that list include Cam Newton, Andrew Luck, Justin Herbert, and Patrick Mahomes – not bad company to be hanging with! Though Atlanta sports a much-improved pass defense (No. 5), I still expect this to be a spot for Tank Dell to shine with him getting the benefit of running up against the lesser of the Falcons two starting cornerbacks. After blowing up last week for 168 yards and 2 TD, Nico Collins will get a heavy dose of A.J. Terrell which means the rookie will have Jeff Okudah lining up against him at a high percentage clip. We’re getting a bit of a discount here with Tank’s receiving yards prop after he crashed and burned last week following erupting for 145 yards and a touchdown the week prior. With Houston potentially being forced to pass the ball a ton due to game script, the Texans WR3 could bust this impost on a single catch should he break free in the Falcons secondary. I’m betting on that occurring on the fast track of the MB Stadium turf and will spice that belief up by banking on one of the big gainers hitting paydirt.

Zach Wilson Over 201.5 Passing Yards -115 + Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes +185

I get that Sean Payton just made a huge statement by axing Randy Gregory and the defense is set to get a bunch of the walking wounded back on the field, but this game against the Jets looks to be a sneaky barnburner with New York sorely in need of flexing its offensive muscles. Zach Wilson invades the Mile High City off arguably his finest showing as a Jet. Sure, his late-game turnover prevented NY from coming out on top against the Chiefs, but he still showed out by outperforming Patrick Mahomes in the box score. Only the Chargers give up more passing yards per game than that of the Broncos (285.5) whose 30.1 percent pressure rate ranks out No. 28 overall. With Denver allowing a near 84 percent catch rate to wide receivers and 9.4 yards per reception to opposing running backs, I fully expect Garret Wilson and Breece Hall to ball-out for their player prop and fantasy supporters leading me to believe Wilson exceeds his passing yards prop at Caesars in back-to-back weeks. The impost has already been steamed from the 185.5 opener and it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if it moved even higher come kickoff. This prop should be closer to 220 yards than 200 with Wilson likely the most confident he’s ever been in his brief NFL career.

Patrick Mahomes Over 285.5 Passing Yards -115 + Over 2.5 Touchdown Passes +125

This tilt with the Vikings has the possibility of being the highest scoring game of Week 5 NFL betting evidenced by the week-high 52.5-point O/U. For all intents and purposes, Patrick Mahomes has largely disappointed his fantasy and prop supporters throughout the Chiefs current three-game win streak. He’s only exceeded his passing touchdowns prop once through four tries, and is yet to go over his passing yards prop in any of his first four starts. That likely changes in Week 5 betting action with the Vikings serving up better than 233 passing yards per game (No. 21) and an average of 1.8 passing touchdowns per game (No. 25). With Brian Flores calling the defensive shots, Minnesota has blitzed at the highest rate in the NFL (57%). It’s resulted in a pathetic 17.1 percent pressure rate (No. 29). That means it’s not getting home! Guess who ranks out as one of the best quarterbacks in the league when under pressure? That’s right; none other than No. 15 whose +0.01 EPA/PLAY sits only behind Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen through the quarter pole. A touchdown to Travis Kelce (-160) almost feels like a given, but I’d take a flier on Rashee Rice (+350) to secure a little more bang for the buck. Either way, Mahomes goes HAM and potentially ends up the QB1 of Week 5 in fantasy circles!

Bet NFL Player Props at Caesars Sportsbook