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October 26, 2023Sunday Night Football Same Game Parlay: Bears vs. Chargers
October 27, 2023NFL bettors have been forced to sit through a number of horrific games under the Sunday Night lights this NFL betting season. We’re owed a good one after being forced to stomach the Cowboys/49ers and Giants/Bills each of the last two weeks. Thankfully, Week 7 betting offers up what could amount to one of the best matchups of the regular season when Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins invade the City of Brotherly Love for a standoff with Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles. Each is currently listed amongst the top-5 favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII at BetRivers Sportsbook, so hopefully we finally get a game that lives up to expectations under the primetime lights! The following is a same game parlay I’ve cooked up to close NFL Sunday out with a bang – SLAM YOUR MAN!!
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I’ll start by saying it’s the Dolphins or pass for me in this tilt. Mike McDaniel and his staff have done a tremendous job reshaping Miami’s franchise since taking over the reins a season ago. Miami currently sits atop the AFC East standings with 5-1 SU and ATS records. While only one of its first six opponents is currently favored to punch a ticket to the playoffs and said team handed the Fins an ugly 48-20 beat down in Buffalo back in Week 4, I’m still extremely bullish on what the visitors bring to the table and believe an overmatched Eagles defense will be unable to contend with it for a full 60 minutes.
Invading the Linc with the No. 1 ranked offensive DVOA in tow, the Dolphins will successfully attack Philly’s undermanned defense both on the ground and through the air. Though De’Von Achane won’t be in the huddle, Raheem Mostert has been nothing short of a rock all season in combining for 574 scrimmage yards with 429 of them coming on the ground to go along with 11 overall touchdowns. When healthy, the 31-year old has proven to be a baller and he’s one of the main reasons why Miami enters this tilt owners of the No. 1 ranked rushing attack that’s averaged nearly 182 yards per game at a league-best 6.5 yards per carry. Philly counters with the NFL’s No. 2 ranked run defense that’s held opposing rushing attacks to fewer than 66 yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry. However, it enters this matchup with some bothersome injuries. Stud rookie DT Jalen Carter is nursing an ankle injury and questionable to play. Marlon Tuipulotu is said to be returning to the fold off a two-game absence due to a triceps injury. How effective will they be?
The Eagles just had some issues with the Jets ground game last week. New York didn’t have nearly the passing game to lean on that Miami does to keep the Eagles a bit more honest at the line of scrimmage. Tua is armed with arguably the best receiving corps in the game! Tyreek Hill is in line to shatter records this season having already reeled in 42 receptions and turned them into 814 yards and 6 TD while averaging an insane 19.4 yards per reception. While not having the same type of blowup season he did a year ago, Jaylen Waddle looks to be in the infancy of a heater having turned his 19 targets into 12 receptions, 2 TD, and 86 yards over the last two weeks. Philly rates out in the middle of the pack both in defensive sack percentage (No. 14) and pressure rate (No. 18). Miami ranks No. 2 in sack percentage allowed, and has already run up against two pass rushes currently ranked in the top-3!
The injuries in Philadelphia’s secondary simply can’t be ignored. Darius Slay is expected to play but is battling a knee injury. Sydney Brown is also listed as probable but has been hampered by a hamstring injury. Bradley Roby and Reed Blankenship are questionable with shoulder and rib injuries respectively. Even if all the walking wounded return to the playing field Sunday night, how confident are we they don’t break down chasing Miami’s elite pass catching corps up and down the field? It’s ranked No. 20 overall in serving up 232+ yards and 1.8 TD per game (No. 29). The secondary Philly’s marched onto the gridiron through the first six weeks of the NFL betting season pales in comparison to the dominant unit that helped the team punch a Super Bowl ticket a season ago. That will be visually apparent as soon as the Dolphins first possession with Miami likely to start fast much like it’s done all season.
It’ll be up to Jalen Hurts and Co. to match points all night long and I’m not sold they keep up. No. 1 doesn’t look to be himself thus far. While still one of the league’s premiere gunslingers, Hurts enters this matchup off a horrific showing against the Jets in which he threw for 280 yards but was picked off three times. He’s thrown at least one interception in three of his last four starts and failed to impress in either of his previous two primetime appearances against the Vikings and Buccaneers. If Miami gets out to an early multi-possession lead, I’ll be interested to see if he can get Philly back in the game. The O-Line will have a gimpy Lane Johnson trying to give it a go, and Miami’s the owner of an underrated pass rush ranked No. 5 in sack percentage and No. 4 in pressure rate that’s thrown opposing QBs to the turf 3.5 times per game. The havoc will lead to more turnovers with Hurts forcing the issue regardless of Miami only coming up with five takeaways. I fully expect the Miami Dolphins to win this game and dent the scoreboard in the process to let it be known they are in fact viable Super Bowl contenders!
Miami Dolphins -3
Miami Dolphins Over 24.5 Points
Tua Tagovailoa Over 1.5 TD Passes
1st Half Over 24.5 Points
Full Game Over 52 Points
Bet $100 to Win $600 On This SNF Same Game Parlay at BetRivers Sportsbook