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March 21, 2022Qatar Masters Picks
March 22, 2022The world’s best golfers are in Texas this week for the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Championship. A total of 63 of the top 69 in the latest world golf rankings will be in the field, including World No. 1 Jon Rahm and last year’s runner-up in this event, Scottie Scheffler. Bryson DeChambeau is also expected to make his return, as he has missed the last two months due to a wrist injury. The six players who qualified for this event but are not playing are Rory McIlroy, Hideki Matsuyama, Sam Burns, Harris English, Phil Mickelson and Cameron Smith. Jon Rahm is listed as the favorite this week at odds of +1200.
Venue: This event takes place at Austin Country Club which is a par 71 that measures 7,108 yards. This will be the sixth time that the Austin Country Club has hosted the event. The course was designed by Pete Dye and has been a very fair test for the players, as long hitters like Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson have won in addition to short hitters like Kevin Kisner.
Last Year: Billy Horschel beat Scottie Scheffler 2 and 1 in the championship match. It was a definite surprise, as Horschel had failed to get past the round of 16 in his previous four tries in this event. Matt Kuchar finished in third place, as he defeated Victor Perez 2 and 1 in the consolation match.
TV Coverage: NBC and Golf Channel
WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Championship Odds
Jon Rahm +1300
Justin Thomas +1400
Viktor Hovland +1400
Scottie Scheffler +1600
Collin Morikawa +1600
Dustin Johnson +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Xander Schauffele +2200
Daniel Berger +2700
Louis Oosthuizen +2900
Tyrrell Hatton +2900
Bryson DeChambeau +2900
Brooks Koepka +3100
Billy Horschel +3100
Jordan Spieth +3100
Shane Lowry +3300
Matthew Fitzpatrick +3300
Joaquin Niemann +3300
Paul Casey +3300
Will Zalatoris +4100
Sungjae Im +4100
Tommy Fleetwood +4100
Sergio Garcia +4100
Adam Scott +5000
Abraham Ancer +5000
Tony Finau +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Alex Noren +5000
Max Homa +5000
Corey Conners +6000
Webb Simpson +6000
Kevin Kisner +6000
Patrick Reed +6000
Marc Leishman +6500
Bubba Watson +6500
Talor Gooch +6500
Jason Kokrak +6500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6500
Cameron Tringale +8000
Si Woo Kim +8000
Justin Rose +8000
Ian Poulter +8000
Keegan Bradley +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Robert Macintyre +8000
Maverick McNealy +8000
All other players are listed with odds of 100-1 or more
Favorite
Jon Rahm +1300
If you have followed me on a weekly basis then you know how I go on and on about not betting favorites to win a golf tournament because they don’t hold any value. It has been so long that I can’t even remember the last favorite that won when going off as the favorite. Rahm has not looked like the world’s top ranked player in recent months and I don’t think there is any value in taking him as the favorite this week.
Value Picks
Viktor Hovland +1400
The picks for me this week are going to be all about players who I think can get into the round of 16. Once there, anything can happen. Hovland has a relatively easy group I think, as Will Zalatoris isn’t playing that well and while Sepp Straka and Cameron Tringale have had their moments, they shouldn’t be much of a threat. Hovland should do well this week and is a deserving top contender.
Xander Schauffele +2200
I think Schauffele has one of the easiest groups to get through to the round of 16. The only real threat might be Tony Finau, but he is not playing well lately. I can’t see Lucas Herbert or Takumi Kanaya providing much of a test. I think Schauffele gets through to the round of 16 fairly easily and there is no question that Schauffele can handle the pressure of match play.
Daniel Berger +2700
I see some value in Berger this week. His main threat in his group would be Tyrrell Hatton but I don’t know that I like Hatton in a match play event. He is known to lose his cool and that is simply a recipe for disaster in match play. I can’t see Si Woo Kim or Christiaan Bezuidenhout providing too much of a test. I think Berger could be a serious threat at double-digit odds this week.
Sergio Garcia +4100
I will take a flyer on Sergio at big odds. He will have to get past Collin Morikawa, but it is hard to like the form of Morikawa right now, as he didn’t play well at all last week at the Valspar. Garcia is very familiar with this course and I don’t see any reason he can’t make the round of 16.
Talor Gooch +6500
I am really surprised the number on Gooch is so high. He gets a favorable group, as he has Bryson DeChambeau who hasn’t played competitive in a couple of months and then it is Lee Westwood and Richard Bland. Gooch has a very favorable path to the round of 16 and at these odds he is worth a flyer to win it all.
Check out the latest WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Championship odds at SugarHouse Sportsbook.