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November 28, 2024The Denver Broncos aim to secure their second three-game win streak of the season in Week 13’s installment of Monday Night Football against the rejuvenated Cleveland Browns in the Mile High City, one of the week’s underrated showdowns. Kevin Stefanski’s troops enter this tilt off a thrilling 24-19 victory over the division rival Steelers, earning both an outright win and a cover while gaining a rest advantage. Meanwhile, Sean Payton’s Broncos handled business in Las Vegas, securing a 29-19 road win and covering the NFL odds to maintain their hold on the AFC’s seventh and final playoff spot. Caesars Sportsbook initially set the Broncos as 7.5-point favorites with a total of 41 for this non-divisional AFC clash. However, both markets have seen adjustments: the spread has tightened to 5.5, and the total has risen slightly to 41.5, with a significant portion of betting action favoring the over.
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Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos NFL Same Game Parlay:
I didn’t have any monetary stake in last week’s Browns-Steelers game, but I was thoroughly entertained by Cleveland’s comeback win—especially with the wintry backdrop. Snow games just hit differently! Coming into the season, the Browns had high expectations. They were priced at 5-1 to win the AFC North, behind only the Ravens (+135) and Bengals (+165), with an 8.5-game season win total. Their odds to return to the playoffs were a near coin flip. Unfortunately, injuries have plagued the roster throughout the year. Despite this, Deshaun Watson’s karma has equated to Jameis Winston’s success. Winston, a former Heisman winner, is notorious for making head-scratching decisions that leave fans frustrated—but he also delivers electrifying moments that get you out of your seat, like his daring two-yard backwards leap into the end zone last week. While his decision-making can be questionable, there’s no denying the energy and excitement he brings to the game—and to life itself. And speaking of excitement, is there anything more entertaining than a Jameis Winston soundbite? Snow games and Winston antics—it doesn’t get much better than that!
It’s hard not to applaud Sean Payton for the remarkable transformation he’s orchestrated with the Denver Broncos. After an eight-win season in his debut as head coach, few expected Denver to exceed expectations heading into the 2024-25 NFL season. Oddsmakers were equally skeptical, pegging the Broncos as -650 favorites to miss the playoffs and setting their win total at just 5.5 games. Fast forward to Week 13, and Denver has already surpassed those expectations, currently holding the AFC’s seventh playoff seed. A key factor in Denver’s resurgence has been rookie quarterback Bo Nix, who has been a revelation under center. His play has revitalized Courtland Sutton, now one of the league’s most reliable receivers. While Denver’s offense remains statistically below average, it has surged over the past three weeks, ranking in the top 10 in yards-per-point efficiency (14.3) and averaging 3.0 touchdowns per game (#7). Complementing the offensive strides is Denver’s top-tier defense, which has allowed fewer than 300 yards per game (#3) and just 17 points per contest (#3). This balance between a revitalized offense and a dominant defense has turned the Broncos into one of the league’s most intriguing playoff contenders.
I couldn’t help but laugh when Caesars opened this game with Denver favored by more than a touchdown. It’s amusing how a few wins against teams like the Saints, Panthers, Falcons, and Raiders can dramatically alter public perception. While Cleveland isn’t exactly a juggernaut, the Browns haven’t shown any signs of quitting, even if their postseason hopes are slim. Last week’s win over the Steelers wasn’t a fluke. This is a team that has already taken down Baltimore—the same Ravens who trounced the Broncos 41-10—and competed mightily against the Eagles and Bengals before falling short. Of Denver’s seven victories, only one came against a team with a winning record. This is a squad led by a rookie quarterback, lacking a reliable running game, now tasked with covering more than a field goal against a Myles Garrett-led defense. Cleveland’s pass rush has been dominant, averaging 3.7 sacks per game over the last three weeks, which will undoubtedly test a Broncos offensive line that has thrived against weaker pass-rushing units. This matchup feels like a defensive slugfest on a cold, wintry night—too many points for Denver to lay. Sprinkle a small bet on the Browns’ moneyline for good measure!
- CLEVELAND BROWNS +5.5
- CLEVELAND/DENVER UNDER 41.5